Best Emmy TV Movie: The Survivor vs. Chip and Dale Rescue Rangers

Ideally, an award category will group similar achievements together for the sake of equal opportunity. At the Emmys, comedies compete against comedies, dramas against dramas and films against films. But it’s hard to imagine a race as big as this year’s Best TV Movie competition. Wilder is the fact that the two movies leading our odds are the last two movies you’d expect to win the same award.

The favorite according to the combined predictions of over 1,000 Gold Derby users is HBO’s “The Survivor,” a drama about a Jewish boxer (Ben Foster) who literally had to fight for his life in a concentration camp during the Holocaust. Its closest rival is Disney+’s “Chip ‘n Dale: Rescue Rangers,” a live-action/animation hybrid based on the children’s cartoon about crime-fighting talking chipmunks. It’s not even like comparing apples to oranges. That’s comparing apples to ethnic cleansing.

But as spectacularly dissimilar as these two movies are, their MetaCritic scores aren’t actually that far apart: 71 for “The Survivor” and 66 for “Rescue Rangers.” On Rotten Tomatoes, “The Survivor” is 86% fresh while “Rescue Rangers” is 80% fresh. And neither movie has any other Emmy nominations, so the playing field is pretty even in that regard as well. Conventional wisdom suggests that the prestige film with the noblest subject and solid awards pedigree (“The Survivor” is directed by Oscar winner Barry Levinson) has the big advantage, but not everyone agrees on that.

As of this writing, three expert journalists we interviewed predict “The Survivor,” but one says “Rescue Rangers.” Eight of the Gold Derby editors who cover the awards all year say “The Survivor”, but four say “Rescue Rangers”. An overwhelming majority of 20 of our top 24 users who got the highest scores predicting last year’s Creative Arts winners say “The Survivor,” but there are still three who say “Rescue Rangers.” And of our Top 24 All-Stars, who scored the highest when you combine Emmy results from the past two years, 21 bet on “The Survivor,” while two went for “Rescue Rangers.”

So it looks like “The Survivor” will come out on top, but that’s not a sure thing.

Make your Gold Derby predictions now. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone or Android (Google Play) devices to compete against legions of other fans as well as our experts and editors for the highest prediction accuracy scores. Check out our latest betting champions. Can you then top our estimated rankings? Always remember to keep your predictions up-to-date as they impact our latest racetrack odds, which are terrifying chefs and Hollywood stars. Don’t miss the fun. Have your say and share your opinions on our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders hide out every day to follow the latest awards rumours. Everyone wants to know: what do you think? Who do you predict and why?